Friday, June 23, 2017

Peter Schiff: The Trump trade isn’t working, here’s what to buy instead

The seemingly never-ending record run for stocks doesn't mean the Trump rally is on solid footing, according to perma bear Peter Schiff.

"I think the trade has unraveled a bit," the Euro Pacific Capital CEO said last week on CNBC's "Futures Now."

Last week, stocks set new all-time highs, as investors shrugged off a weaker-than-expected May jobs report and remained at least partly motivated by elements of President Donald Trump's policy agenda. However, one of Wall Street's most relentlessly bearish voices was unimpressed.

"Remember that early in the Trump trade, you had a strong dollar. The dollar has surrendered 100 percent of its gains post-Trump's election," Schiff told CNBC. Additionally, "year to date the S&P is up, [but when] priced in gold the S&P is actually down."

So instead of staying in the U.S. stock market, Schiff is urging investors to buy bullion, which "is up more than the Dow and more than the S&P," with the yellow metal having rallied 11 percent this year. Gold rose to its highest price since the end of April on Friday, thanks largely to the continued drop in the U.S. dollar.

Meanwhile, Schiff said it's also time to look overseas, as foreign markets are actually outperforming the U.S.

"The U.S. markets have been pretty steady while foreign markets have been much stronger, [with emerging markets also being very strong," he said. "I expect this trend to continue and I think it will accelerate in the second half of the year."

In fact, while the S&P 500 Index is up almost 9 percent this year, Wall Street analysts have started urging investors to look at Europe, also up 9 percent year to date. Emerging markets, however, have soared over 19 percent so far in 2017.

But Schiff says more trouble could be ahead for the markets, especially given the Federal Reserve's next actions. While the CME Fedwatch Tool is predicting an over 90 percent chance that the Fed will hike rates during its meeting next week, Schiff doesn't expect any more hikes after June, which could damage the market.

"Even though the Fed claims to be data-dependent and they hike interest rates [in spite of weaker than anticipated data], I think the markets are starting to look beyond the hikes to the cuts," said Schiff. "I think we're getting ready to start a new easing cycle."

Schiff had previously cast doubt on the number of rate hikes. In February, the ardent Trump critic had pointed out that economic data was weaker than anticipated, blaming the Fed for Trump's election.

- Source, CNBC

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Trump's Budget Can't Diffuse Bush & Obama's Timebomb

What is going to happen next? Can Presidents Trump budget plan save the US, or are we already too far gone? The damage that Obama did, may not be able to be reversed.

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Peter Schiff Discusses President Trump's Budget Plan

"When interest rates go up, the cost of servicing the enormous national debt will skyrocket. You can just forget about this entire budget, its all a bunch of fantasy."

Thursday, June 8, 2017

The Dollar's Decline Is Only Just Getting Started

Peter Schiff takes to the sound waves and discusses the recent aliments of the US dollar and how it is destined to crash and burn. We haven't seen anything yet, and much more pain is on the way. Get prepared now, or regret it.

- Video Source

Monday, June 5, 2017

Fed Admits It Needs Evidence Q1 Weakness Was Transitory

Are the Federal Reserve attempting to bring down our system? What are they doing and why are they doing it? Peter Schiff discusses the recent actions of the FED and what direction they are going to take next.

- Source

Monday, May 15, 2017

Peter Schiff: Economy, Dollar Headed for a Major Crisis Under Trump

Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, warns savvy investors they should start protecting their assets for a worst-case scenario because there is little hope of economic improvement as President Donald Trump near completion of his first 100 days in office.

“Donald Trump should already be disappointing a lot of people who thought we were going to get change, we were going to make America great again,” Investment Watch quoted Schiff as saying.

“We didn’t repeal Obamacare, that’s here to stay. Major tax reform is dead. We’re dropping bombs,” IW quoted Schiff as telling Future Money Trends.

“I mean it’s the same old same old right? Big government… bigger deficits… more cheap money… keep the air in the bubble. We’re headed for a major major crisis,” Schiff said.

Schiff also investors to keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, which Trump himself last week said was too strong.

“The dollar is living on borrowed time, literally. And so we just don’t know. It’s like a bomb with a fuse, but we just don’t really know how long the fuse is,” Schiff said.

“The dollar, I think is in a major bubble. I think it is in the process of topping out. I think once it completes this top it’s going down. And I think it’s going to take out the lows from 2008,” Schiff said.

“I think it’s going to go down for the count. Because the last time, what saved the dollar was the financial crisis, and that crisis resulted in everybody buying the dollar. But I think the next crisis is not going to be the same crisis that we had in ’08,” Schiff said.

“I think the dollar is going to be the crisis. I don’t think it’s going to be a bread and butter financial crisis. This is going to be a currency crisis. So it’s going to be the US government," Schiff predicted.

"It’s not going to be the mortgage markets that’s blowing up. It’s going to be the Treasury bond market that’s blowing up. It’s going to be the Federal Reserve that’s blowing up. And this is going to be a major major negative for the dollar, not a positive,” Schiff said.

Even Trump's former economic adviser cautions the president about his apparent recent policy reversal on the greenback.

Stephen Moore, one of Donald Trump's economic advisers during the campaign, said he was not concerned about most of the president’s latest policy flip-flops, but disagrees that the U.S. currency is too powerful.

“Advocating a weaker dollar is I don’t think good policy or good politics,” Moore told The Washington Post. “A strong dollar is a strong president, and a weak dollar is a weak president,” the Newsmax Finance Insider said.

Trump earlier this week said he won’t brand China a currency manipulator, retreating from core campaign promise, though he argued that a strong dollar is hampering the ability of American firms to compete.

“I think our dollar is getting too strong, and partially that’s my fault because people have confidence in me. But that’s hurting — that will hurt ultimately,” he told the Wall Street Journal. “It’s very, very hard to compete when you have a strong dollar and other countries are devaluing their currency.”

However, other respected economic gurus are much more optimistic and urge wary investors to keep faith in Trump.

David Horowitz, author of the best-selling book "Big Agenda: President Trump's Plan to Save America," told Newsmax TV that the market rally since Republican Donald Trump won the election has more room for gains as the president pushes his pro-business agenda.

“There's more upside. Starting from when he was president-elect he started this stock market boom,” he told the “The Income Generation Show.”

“There will be corrections. There are going to be setbacks along the way like the healthcare which they hurried too fast. If you're looking over the long term of this administration, I think the stock market is going to love Trump.”

Another of the most respected economic gurus of modern times also urges patience with the president.

Former Ronald Reagan adviser Larry Kudlow is urging any impatience investors to just give President Donald Trump to fully enact his strategies to reform healthcare, spark economic growth and redesign the tax system.

After all, Trump has been in office a relatively short time and has inherited a mountain of problems from the past two decades.

“He's trying to fix a lot of problems that have gone unfixed in the last 20 years,” Kudlow explained to CNBC.

- Source, News Max

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